POLYBOT
EU-WEST-1
53.34° N · 6.25° W
OPERATIONAL · 24/7
Polymarket — Options-Implied Arbitrage / Est. April 2026

Closing the gap
between belief
and price.

A quiet, always-on system that watches a corner of the market the rest of the world isn’t paying attention to — and acts when the math says it should, before the market catches up.

Enter Terminal ↓ See the board
02 · The board

Snapshots from elsewhere, just to keep our bearings.

Spot prices via Binance, refreshed every 30 seconds — included for orientation, not endorsement.

03 · Posture

Always on, rarely in a hurry.

0 Total trades
$0.00 +0.0% Cumulative profit
24/ 7 Operating hours
< 1s Decision latency
99.7% Uptime, 30-day
EU-W1 Region · Ireland
Profit · hourly
now
Markets discover prices.
We try to discover them first.
operating principle
04 · Live status

Components and venues, checked minute-by-minute.

05 · Recent work

A handful of improvements, quietly shipped.

  1. Fund-share accounting

    Capital flows now issue or burn shares at the current NAV-per-share, so external deposits and withdrawals don’t move existing holders’ balances.

  2. Drawdown circuit-breaker

    Auto-pause on unusual short-window equity drops, with a manual re-arm. The two-tick spike filter rejects upstream data-feed glitches that would otherwise look like real losses.

  3. Migration to the next-generation venue

    Adopted the new exchange protocol on launch day; cancel/replace round-trips materially faster afterward.

  4. Calibration round — ROI fixes

    Bayesian shrinkage on small-sample edges, a 2-hour minimum hold, and a tighter cap on ranges. Hit-rate up, average loss down.

  5. Conflict detection between positions

    Auto-resolve mutually-exclusive positions before they offset each other on resolution — no more accidentally hedging ourselves to zero.

  6. Initial deployment

    Bot online; first orders placed and tracked end-to-end.